Sunday, November 29, 2020

Bitcoin Climbs 5%, Why $18.2K Holds The Key For More Upsides



Bitcoin price started a fresh increase from the $16,200 support zone against the US Dollar. BTC is up 5% and it is trading above $17,500, but facing a major resistance at $18k and $18.2k.


  • Bitcoin started a fresh upward move above the $17,000 and $17,200 levels.

  • The price is now trading nicely above the $17,500 resistance and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).

  • There was a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near $17,200 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

  • The pair could revisit the $18,200 resistance, where the bears might put a strong fight.

Bitcoin Price is Rising Steadily


This past week, bitcoin saw a sharp downside correction below $18,000 and $17,200 against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair even broke the $16,800 support and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).


It traded as low as $16,219 before forming a support base. A fresh increase was initiated above the $16,500 and $16,800 resistance levels. Bitcoin price cleared the $17,400 resistance and 100 simple moving average (4-hours) to move into a positive zone.


There was also a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near $17,200 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair is now testing the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $19,500 swing high to $16,220 swing low.


Bitcoin Price


Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A clear break above the $17,850 and $18,000 levels might lead the price towards the key $18,250 resistance zone. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $19,500 swing high to $16,220 swing low.


A successful break above the $18,250 and $18,400 levels is needed for a fresh rise towards the $19,000 and $19,500 levels in the coming sessions.


Another Drop in BTC?


If bitcoin fails to clear the $18,000 and $18,250 resistance levels, it could start a fresh decline. An initial support is near the $17,500 level or the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).


The first major support sits at $17,400 levels. A downside break below the $17,400 level could lead the price towards the main $16,800 support level. Any more losses might call for a new low below $16,200.


Technical indicators


4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is slowly gaining momentum in the bullish zone.


4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is rising and it is above the 50 level.


Major Support Level – $17,400


Major Resistance Level – $18,250





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